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    Economic growth in Colombia: a reversal of fortune?

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    Date

    2007-02

    Author

    Cárdenas, Mauricio

    URI

    http://hdl.handle.net/11445/804
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    Abstract

    "Since 1979, Colombia s annual GDP growth has been on average two percentage pointslower than what was observed between 1950 and 1980. The sources-of-growth decomposition shows that this deceleration can be accounted entirely by changes in productivity. Indeed, between 1960 and 1980 productivity gains increased output per worker by nearly 1% per year. Since 1980, productivity losses have reduced output per worker at about the same rate. The time series analysis suggests that the implosion of productivity was caused by the increase in criminality which diverted capital and labor to unproductive activities. In turn, the rise in crime was the result of rapid expansion in drug-trafficking activities, which erupted around 1980. Consequently, the fortunes associated with the emergence of Colombia as the world largest producer of cocaine had a significantly negative effect on growth and productivity. This explanation is supported by cross-country evidence that shows that Colombia s underperformance, especially in the 1990s, is explained by its high homicide rate."

    Abstract

    "Since 1979, Colombia s annual GDP growth has been on average two percentage pointslower than what was observed between 1950 and 1980. The sources-of-growth decomposition shows that this deceleration can be accounted entirely by changes in productivity. Indeed, between 1960 and 1980 productivity gains increased output per worker by nearly 1% per year. Since 1980, productivity losses have reduced output per worker at about the same rate. The time series analysis suggests that the implosion of productivity was caused by the increase in criminality which diverted capital and labor to unproductive activities. In turn, the rise in crime was the result of rapid expansion in drug-trafficking activities, which erupted around 1980. Consequently, the fortunes associated with the emergence of Colombia as the world largest producer of cocaine had a significantly negative effect on growth and productivity. This explanation is supported by cross-country evidence that shows that Colombia s underperformance, especially in the 1990s, is explained by its high homicide rate."

    Serie

    Documentos de Trabajo (Working Papers). No. 36. Febrero 2007

    Palabras clave

    Crecimiento Económico
    Productividad
    Capital Social
    Crimen
    Conflictos

    JEL

    O47
    Z13
    Collections
    • Documentos de Trabajo (Working Papers) [79]

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    Acerca de Fedesarrollo

    La Fundación para la Educación Superior y el Desarrollo (Fedesarrollo) es una entidad privada sin ánimo de lucro. Establecida en 1970, se dedica a la investigación en temas de política económica y social.

    Fedesarrollo

    Calle 78 Nº 9 -91, Bogotá - Colombia
    Tel (571) 325 9777, Fax (571) 325 9770
    https://www.fedesarrollo.org.co
    © 2017, Todos los derechos reservados

    Redes Sociales